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In March 2026, spot gas crossed EUR 55\/MWh, up 83% from EUR 30 just weeks earlier. Spot power followed, up 25% to EUR 100\/MWh. Forward gas is now pricing in further uncertainty at EUR 38\/MWh, up 41% from EUR 27.
These aren’t temporary blips. They’re structural: driven by gas storage deficits, LNG supply gaps, and power-gas coupling that means your electricity cost is, in practice, a gas cost.<\/p>\n
On March 31, AYA hosted a live webinar. Alexandre Indekeu and Baudouin Vervrangen spent 60 minutes breaking down what happened, what it means for your budget, and what you can do about it. Here are the five key takeaways.<\/p>\n
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[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row make_equal=”on” custom_padding_last_edited=”off|desktop” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” width=”90%” width_tablet=”70%” width_phone=”90%” width_last_edited=”on|tablet” max_width=”900px” module_alignment=”center” custom_padding_phone=”||||false|false” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.27.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding_tablet=”” custom_padding_phone=”|5%|||false|false” custom_padding_last_edited=”on|phone” global_colors_info=”{}”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”||||false|false” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n
The structural driver of current prices isn’t sentiment. Europe’s storage levels require injection volumes well above last year’s pace. If that target isn’t met, the risk of a price spike into winter 2026\/27 is real. If your 2027 contract coverage wasn’t locked in during 2025, you are now pricing at significantly higher levels.<\/p>\n
Before any hedging decision, know your starting position: Site (consumption profile and asset mix) | Contract (type, duration, hedging method in place) | Financial (cap\/floor thresholds, stop-loss levels) | Risk (geopolitical exposure, supplier concentration). Without this baseline, hedging decisions are guesswork.<\/p>\n
Conservative (spread Y-3 to Y), Balanced (medium-term), or Ambitious (short-term). Critical question: is your stop-loss triggered? If spot prices have moved significantly above your hedged position, your stop-loss protocol should determine your next tranche \u2014 not emotion or market commentary.<\/p>\n
Most industrial operators access only 1\u20132 of the available revenue markets. Multi-market stacking across day-ahead, intraday, balancing, and capacity = up to \u20ac40K\/MW\/year. The gap exists because most battery contracts were structured around a single revenue stream. If your battery is 100kW\u20132MW in Wallonia or Flanders, a Battery Revenue Scan takes 30 minutes and shows you exactly what that gap looks like.ion or market commentary.<\/p>\n
\u2713 Assess: understand the market and model your worst-case scenario<\/p>\n
\u2713 Impact: determine how exposed your company is<\/p>\n
\u2713 Click strategy: review yours now, is a stop-loss triggered?<\/p>\n
\u2713 Contracts: map your coverage gaps for 2027 and 2028<\/p>\n
\u2713 Batteries & flex: are your assets working across all available revenue markets?<\/p>\n
[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_cta _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”gcid-99326fa3-840a-4fc1-9a8d-91362af9d533″ background_layout=”light” custom_padding=”||21px|||” global_colors_info=”{%22gcid-99326fa3-840a-4fc1-9a8d-91362af9d533%22:%91%22background_color%22%93}”]<\/p>\n
\u2192 Book free 30-min stress-test meeting<\/a> [\/et_pb_cta][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}”]<\/p>\n Belgian energy management company. 150 active clients across W-Europe. 4 TWh electricity + 2 TWh gas under management. 35 energy managers. 15+ years experience. We don’t just advise. We act.<\/p>\n [\/et_pb_text][et_pb_button button_url=”https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/webinar-replay-dont-let-the-market-control-your-energy-budget?utm_source=website&utm_medium=cta&utm_campaign=webinar-hedging-mar2026&utm_content=webinar-31march-blog#calendar” button_text=”Watch the free webinar replay + Download slides” button_alignment=”center” button_alignment_tablet=”” button_alignment_phone=”center” button_alignment_last_edited=”on|phone” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” custom_button=”on” button_text_size=”19px” button_text_color=”#FFFFFF” button_bg_color=”gcid-body-color” button_border_width=”0px” button_border_radius=”100px” button_use_icon=”off” locked=”off” global_colors_info=”{%22gcid-body-color%22:%91%22button_bg_color%22%93,%22gcid-secondary-color%22:%91%22button_icon_color%22%93}”][\/et_pb_button][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" In March 2026, spot gas crossed EUR 55\/MWh, up 83% from EUR 30 just weeks earlier. Spot power followed, up 25% to EUR 100\/MWh. Forward gas is now pricing in further uncertainty at EUR 38\/MWh, up 41% from EUR 27.These aren’t temporary blips. They’re structural: driven by gas storage deficits, LNG supply gaps, and power-gas […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1535,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[67],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy-roadmap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4719","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4719"}],"version-history":[{"count":23,"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4719\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4815,"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4719\/revisions\/4815"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1535"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4719"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aya.studiofrend.be\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\u2192 Battery Revenue Scan<\/a><\/p>\nABOUT AYA<\/h3>\n